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The Economy
In 1992 when Bill Clinton was running for President, there was a
sign posted at his campaign headquarters that read “It’s the
economy, stupid,” a rather harsh but nonetheless direct reminder to
staffers that the main issue in the campaign was the economy. This
was at the end of the Reagan/Bush era when it had become obvious
that Reagan’s “trickle down economics” did nothing to help the
middle and lower classes. The theory was that, if millionaires and
billionaires got big tax breaks, they would spend their money on
products that increased corporate profits, which would end up
trickling down to the less fortunate. The result was disastrous. By
1992, the economy was suffering and the middle and lower classes
were suffering along with it.
Economy is always a huge issue in elections, so I thought it might
be a good idea to see what each party’s platform has to say about
the economy.
The GOP platform offers a number of economic proposals that come
from two sources. First, I’d like to examine what the GOP’s Project
2025 platform is proposing. This, by the way, is available for your
examination online with very little research involved. Essentially
the Project 2025 platform proposes to:
1. lower the threshold at which salaried (non- hourly)
workers qualify for overtime if they work over 40 hours a week. The
current threshold is $43,888. This means that anyone making more
than that does not qualify for overtime pay. If the GOP lowers the
threshold to—for example--$35,000, anyone making more than that
would not qualify for overtime pay. This would affect 4 million
people working in hospitality, manufacturing, administrative roles,
etc.
2). eliminate the Economic Development Administration which,
according to its 2022 report, invested billions into infrastructure
projects which created 220,000 jobs and generated $20 billion in
private investment.
3). consolidate the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Census
Bureau, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The BLS measures
employment, compensation, worker safety, productivity, and price
movement. Information gathered is currently used by jobseekers,
workers, and business leaders. The Bureau of Economic Analysis
measures the country’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product). Since it would
become more difficult to collect data with the consolidation of
these agencies, a veil could be drawn over how the economy is
actually doing, whether families’ paychecks are growing, and whether
small businesses are thriving.
4). weaken child labor protections by allowing employers to
put young people into inherently dangerous jobs.
5). restrict food assistance by imposing a work requirement
onto SNAP (Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program) households
that include a child, an elderly person, or a person with
disabilities. (Currently 92% of SNAP benefits go to households with
low incomes or incomes below the poverty line.)
6). limit which disabilities would qualify military veterans
for actual benefits.
7). remove monetary safety nets for farmers, restricting them
to “unusual situations.” The “unusual situations” are not defined.
8). end public transportation projects by eliminating the
Capital Investment Grants program, which has been responsible for
awarding billions of dollars to key public transportation projects
across the country.
9). cut the federal loan programs that help parents of
college students and graduate students to afford higher education.
10). On the plus side, they propose to eliminate taxes on
tips, create a Central Bank of Digital (Crypto) Currency,
create “a robust Manufacturing Industry in Near Earth Orbit and
enhance partnerships with the Commercial Space Sector to
revolutionize our ability to access, live in, and develop assets in
space.”
Additionally, the GOP candidate for President adds to the plan with
five elements which, unfortunately, 16 Nobel Prize winning
economists have labelled as a plan that will make inflation explode:
1.The Tariff Plan: The GOP candidate would put tariffs of 60%
on products from China and 10% on products from other foreign
countries. The inherent problem with this plan is that foreign
manufacturers would pass this cost on to the corporation importing
the products and that corporation would simply pass the cost on to
the consumers. Economists have pointed out that this tariff plan
would cost the average family an extra $2500 per year.
2. The Monopoly Plan: Corporate consolidation is one of the
biggest drivers of inflation. (Think airline tickets and how the
cost of flying has increased with each airline merger). Fewer
competitors means that corporations can raise their prices without
worrying that a competitor might offer a lower price. Project 2025
wants to fast track airline mergers and fast track oil mergers.
Economists point out that this would result in higher prices due to
less competition.
3.The Energy Price Hike: This proposal is to end clean energy
and end fuel efficiency standards. These are standards that were set
up by the Biden administration.
4.The Devaluation of the Dollar: The proposal is to look for
ways to devalue the dollar in order to attract foreign investors.
Right now the dollar is strong against all foreign currencies. This
would reduce its strength. The unfortunate by-product is that your
dollar would become worth less.
5. The Deportation Plan: The plan would deport all illegal
immigrants. On the surface this might seem like a possible way to
create new jobs. The side effect, however, would be the loss of
1,000,000 construction workers, 1,000,000 farm workers, and
1,000,000 food service workers.
The Democrats’ program would build upon the economic gains from the
Biden administration, as grown through the Inflation Reduction Act
and the bipartisan Infrastructure Bill. At the moment, those
advancements include the construction of major roadways, investments
in public transit, replacement of toxic lead pipes, and the
production of 80,000 megawatts of clean energy. Employment is at the
lowest it has been for decades. The Democratic platform now
specifically addresses the following:
1. Taxes would not go up for anyone making less than $400,000
per year; taxes would be cut for 100 million Americans; in the first
year of a child’s life, the parents would receive a $6,000 tax
credit to enable them to provide the items necessary for that
child’s first year of life; corporate taxes would be raised and
billionaires’ taxes would be raised to achieve more equity in what
people are paying; there would be a $50,000 tax deduction for
start-up businesses, which create nearly 50% of private sector jobs;
there would be tax credits for steel, iron, and other manufacturing
jobs.
2. The administration would develop active partnerships with
the private sector by investing in new industries and working with
banks and tech companies to increase money going into community
banks and small businesses in order to create opportunities for
individuals to grow wealth.
3. $25,000 would be provided to first time home buyers; tax
incentives would be created for homebuilders to add 3,000,000
housing units for sale or for rent; the amount of red tape that goes
along with homebuilding would be reduced by working with state and
local governments; incentives would be created for state and local
governments to provide affordable housing for working people.
4. There would be a Federal ban on corporate price gouging; a
commitment to capping the cost of medication for everyone;
access to paid leave to care for children and the elderly in
need of care.
5. The platform calls for: investments in biomanufacturing,
aerospace, and artificial intelligence; investments in clean energy
innovation and manufacturing so that the next generation of
innovative products are built in the U.S.; the retooling of existing
factories to make them suitable for other industries than the one
for which they were originally built; originally; the doubling of
registered apprenticeships.
This information can be found online and in a simplified version by
accessing the transcript of Stephanie Ruhle’s interview with Vice
President Harris which can be found through msnbc.com.
Of course, no matter which candidate wins, that candidate must
increase majorities in the House and the Senate in order to get
bills passed. So the wise move by any voter wanting to see action
is to vote along party lines in order to enable Congress to get
something done.
It’s my strong belief that we need to be informed voters,
uninfluenced by social media, paid influencers, television
commercials, billboards, banners, and yard signs. This year more
than any other, an informed choice is crucial.
Elizabeth George
Seattle, Washington
September 28, 2024
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